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Mike’s original audio file is here.
Syrian Refugees
This is the Baroness Jay report into the sex abuse scandal in Rochdale, England.
These are the UNHCR reports that report 1.7m Syrian refugees in Turkey and 1.8m in Lebanon, a country not much bigger than County Cork.
Update: The contributor, Mike, got back to me and queried me for a source on the tendency of immigrant birth rates to trend towards that of the host country. This study shows:
The findings support mainly the socialization hypothesis: the transition rates of first-generation immigrants vary by country of origin, and the fertility patterns of migrant descendants resemble more closely those of West Germans than those of the first immigrant generation. In addition, the analyses show that fertility differentials between immigrants and women of the indigenous population can largely, though not in full, be explained by compositional differences.
In short, that means is that the birth rates are higher partly because people tend to migrate at the start of their childbearing years, and the remaining differentials fade in second and third generation immigrants. Mike, however, correctly points out that even if immigrant communities quickly adopt a birth rate similar to the indigenous population, a constant arrival of new immigrants will increase their proportion of the population.
